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RETURN TO EXPERIENCE AND INITIAL WAGE LEVEL: DO LOW WAGE WORKERS CATCH UP? (r...
This paper estimates the relationship between initial wage and return to experience. We use a Mincer-like wage model to non-parametrically estimate this relationship allowing... -
CHILD MENTAL HEALTH AND EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT: MULTIPLE OBSERVERS AND THE ME...
We examine the effect of survey measurement error on the empirical relationship between child mental health and personal and family characteristics, and between child mental... -
DOES CORESIDENCE IMPROVE AN ELDERLY PARENT'S HEALTH? (replication data)
It is generally believed that intergenerational coresidence by elderly parents and adult children provides old-age security for parents. Although such coresidence is still the... -
IDENTIFYING CAUSAL MECHANISMS (PRIMARILY) BASED ON INVERSE PROBABILITY WEIGHT...
This paper demonstrates the identification of causal mechanisms of a binary treatment under selection on observables, (primarily) based on inverse probability weighting; i.e. we... -
SMOOTH QUANTILE-BASED MODELING OF BRAND SALES, PRICE AND PROMOTIONAL EFFECTS ...
Semiparametric quantile regression is employed to flexibly estimate sales response for frequently purchased consumer goods. Using retail store-level data, we compare the... -
WHO REALLY WANTS TO BE A MILLIONAIRE? ESTIMATES OF RISK AVERSION FROM GAMESHO...
This paper estimates the degree of risk aversion from one of the most popular TV gameshows ever. The format of the show is straightforward; it involves no strategic decision... -
HOW BELIEFS ABOUT HIV STATUS AFFECT RISKY BEHAVIORS: EVIDENCE FROM MALAWI (re...
This paper examines how beliefs about own HIV status affect decisions to engage in risky sexual behavior, as measured by having extramarital sex and/or multiple sex partners.... -
SEMI-PARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF PROGRAM IMPACTS ON DISPERSION OF POTENTIAL WAGE...
We propose the use of instrumental variables and pairwise matching to identify the average treatment effect on variance in potential outcomes. We show that identifying and... -
Forecasting interest rates with shifting endpoints (replication data)
We consider forecasting the term structure of interest rates with the assumption that factors driving the yield curve are stationary around a slowly time-varying mean or... -
MODELLING REGIME SWITCHING AND STRUCTURAL BREAKS WITH AN INFINITE HIDDEN MARK...
This paper proposes an infinite hidden Markov model to integrate the regime switching and structural break dynamics in a unified Bayesian framework. Two parallel hierarchical... -
THE ROLE OF CONDITIONAL HETEROSKEDASTICITY IN IDENTIFYING AND ESTIMATING LINE...
A new estimator is proposed for linear triangular systems, where identification results from the model errors following a bivariate and diagonal GARCH(1,1) process with... -
THE DYNAMICS OF REAL EXCHANGE RATES: A RECONSIDERATION (replication data)
In this paper we offer a bootstrap-based version of the Cox specification test for non-nested hypothesis to discriminate between ESTAR and MSAR models. Both models are commonly... -
REALIZED BETA GARCH: A MULTIVARIATE GARCH MODEL WITH REALIZED MEASURES OF VOL...
We introduce a multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model that incorporates realized measures of variances and covariances. Realized... -
A MOMENT-MATCHING METHOD FOR APPROXIMATING VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESSES BY...
This paper proposes a moment-matching method for approximating vector autoregressions by finite-state Markov chains. The Markov chain is constructed by targeting the conditional... -
CONSTRUCTING OPTIMAL DENSITY FORECASTS FROM POINT FORECAST COMBINATIONS (repl...
Decision makers often observe point forecasts of the same variable computed, for instance, by commercial banks, IMF and the World Bank, but the econometric models used by such... -
FORECASTING DISCONNECTED EXCHANGE RATES (replication data)
The inability of empirical models to forecast exchange rates has given rise to the belief that exchange rates are disconnected from macroeconomic fundamentals. This paper... -
MULTIPLE EVENT INCIDENCE AND DURATION ANALYSIS FOR CREDIT DATA INCORPORATING ...
Applications of duration analysis in economics and finance exclusively employ methods for events of stochastic duration. In application to credit data, previous research... -
A TIP OF THE ICEBERG? THE PROBABILITY OF CATCHING CARTELS (replication data)
Reliable estimates of crime detection probabilities could help in designing better sanctions and improve our understanding of the efficiency of law enforcement. For cartels, we... -
MULTIPLE TESTING AND HETEROGENEOUS TREATMENT EFFECTS: RE-EVALUATING THE EFFEC...
The effect of a program or treatment may vary according to observed characteristics. In such a setting, it may not only be of interest to determine whether the program or... -
ROUNDING, FOCAL POINT ANSWERS AND NONRESPONSE TO SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY QUEST...
We develop a panel data model explaining answers to subjective probabilities about binary events and estimate it using data from the Health and Retirement Study on six such...
