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Uncertainty and monetary policy in good and bad times: A replication of the v...
This paper revisits the well-known vector autoregressive (VAR) evidence on the real effects of uncertainty shocks by Bloom (2009, https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA6248). We replicate... -
Bootstrap inference and diagnostics in state space models: With applications ...
This paper investigates the potentials of the bootstrap as a tool for inference on the parameters of macroeconometric models which admit a state space representation. We... -
Cyclical labour income risk in Great Britain (replication data)
This paper provides new evidence on the cyclical behaviour of household labour income risk in Great Britain and the role of social insurance policy in mitigating against this... -
Uncertain Kingdom: Nowcasting Gross Domestic Product and its revisions (repli...
We propose a release-augmented dynamic factor model (RA-DFM) that allows to quantify the role of a country's data flow in nowcasting both early Gross Domestic Product (GDP)... -
Semiparametric estimation and variable selection for single‐index copula mode...
A copula with a flexibly dependence structure can capture complexity and heterogeneity in economic and financial time series. Based on the recently proposed single-index copula,... -
Transitory and permanent shocks in the global market for crude oil (replicati...
This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on an empirical model embedding transitory and permanent shocks. We find evidence of... -
Revisiting gender identity and relative income within households: A cautionar...
We show that Bertrand et al.'s (QJE, 2015, ) finding of a sharp drop in the relative income distribution within married couples at the point where wives start to earn more than... -
Inferring financial bubbles from option data (replication data)
Financial bubbles arise when the underlying asset's market price deviates from its fundamental value. Unlike other bubble tests that use time series data and assume a... -
Tracking and specialization of high schools: Heterogeneous effects of school ...
We analyze the impact of choosing an elite school on high school graduation in an early tracking system in Flanders (Belgium). Whereas elite schools offer only an academic... -
What time use surveys can (and cannot) tell us about labor supply (replicatio...
The American Time Use Survey (ATUS) accurately measures hours worked on a single day. We propose several estimators of elasticities of weekly labor supply in a linear regression... -
Permutation tests for equality of distributions of functional data (replicati...
Economic data are often generated by stochastic processes that take place in continuous time, though observations may occur only at discrete times. Such data are called... -
Reduced‐form factor augmented VAR—Exploiting sparsity to include meaningful f...
Induced sparsity in the factor loading matrix identifies the factor basis, while rotational identification is obtained ex post by clustering methods closely related to machine... -
How does the financial market update beliefs about the real economy? Evidence...
Oil traders find it challenging to process all information and choose which sources to follow. Inventories represent a perfect source, as they provide important information... -
Endogenous health groups and heterogeneous dynamics of the elderly (replicati...
We propose a methodology to classify individuals into few but meaningful health groups by estimating a panel Markov switching model that exploits rich information from panel... -
Consumer inflation expectations, income changes and economic downturns (repli...
Using a novel, nationally representative dataset containing the expectations of over 300,000 Australians, individuals are shown to form expectations in a manner inadequately... -
Interpretation of point forecasts with unknown directive (replication data)
Point forecasts can be interpreted as functionals (i.e., point summaries) of predictive distributions. We extend methodology for the identification of the functional based on... -
If not now, when? The timing of childbirth and labor market outcomes (replica...
We study the effect of childbirth and birth timing on female labor market outcomes in Italy. The impact is traced up to 21 years since school completion by estimating a factor... -
A one covariate at a time, multiple testing approach to variable selection in...
Chudik, Kapetanios, & Pesaran (Econometrica 2018, 86, 1479-1512) propose a one covariate at a time, multiple testing (OCMT) approach to variable selection in... -
Productivity effects of internationalisation through the domestic supply chai...
This paper investigates productivity effects for a given firm resulting from the import or export of intermediate inputs by domestic upstream and downstream industries. With the... -
The government spending multiplier at the zero lower bound: International evi...
Based on a large historical panel dataset, this paper provides evidence that the government spending multiplier can be significantly higher when interest rates are at or near...
