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High school completion and future youth unemployment: new evidence from High ...
In this paper, I provide new evidence from High School and Beyond (HSB) on the effects of compulsory attendance on high school completion and future youth unemployment. I... -
An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock...
This paper considers a variety of econometric models for the joint distribution of US stock and bond returns in the presence of regime switching dynamics. While simple two- or... -
The policy preferences of the US Federal Reserve (replication data)
In this paper we model and explain US macroeconomic outcomes subject to the discipline that monetary policy is set optimally. Exploiting the restrictions that come from optimal... -
Monitoring structural change in dynamic econometric models (replication data)
The classical approach to testing for structural change employs retrospective tests using a historical data set of a given length. Here we consider a wide array of... -
Simple solutions to the initial conditions problem in dynamic, nonlinear pane...
I study a simple, widely applicable approach to handling the initial conditions problem in dynamic, nonlinear unobserved effects models. Rather than attempting to obtain the... -
Evidence on purchasing power parity from univariate models: the case of smoot...
Recent research has found that trend-break unit root tests derived from univariate linear models do not support the hypothesis of long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) for US... -
Robust inference concerning recent trends in US environmental quality (replic...
Understanding trends in environmental quality is important for individuals and policymakers. Typically, trends in environmental quality are determined solely through comparisons... -
An algorithm to reduce the occupational space in gender segregation studies (...
This paper presents an algorithm based on the bootstrap to select an admissible aggregation level, that is, the minimum number of occupational categories that yield a gender... -
Duration dependence in the exit rate out of unemployment in Belgium. Is it tr...
On the basis of aggregate data for the early 1990s, we analyse the determinants of unemployment duration for laid-off male workers in Wallonia (Belgium). Our results indicate... -
On Markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and di...
This paper considers Markov error-correction (MEC) models in which deviations from the long-run equilibrium are characterized by different rates of adjustment. To motivate our... -
Can inflation data improve the real-time reliability of output gap estimates?...
Potential output plays a central role in monetary policy and short-term macroeconomic policy making. Yet, characterizing the output gap involves a trend-cycle decomposition, and... -
Temporary layoffs and split population models (replication data)
This paper develops and estimates a split population model for the duration of temporary layoffs in the German labour market; the population being split according to whether a... -
Estimating the economic return to educational levels using data on twins (rep...
This paper relaxes some restrictions of previous twin-based estimates of the effects of education on earnings. First, it estimates the earnings premiums associated with... -
The stochastic implications of rent maximization: an application to stumpage ...
We construct a model of rent-maximizing behaviour by a single seller of timber in the absence of a formal market, deriving the stochastic implications of rent maximization for... -
Mixed signals among tests for cointegration (replication data)
This paper illustrates that, under the null hypothesis of no cointegration, the correlation of p-values from a single-equation residual-based test (i.e., ADF or ) with a... -
Nonlinear effects of exchange rate volatility on the volume of bilateral expo...
In this paper, we investigate empirically the impact of exchange rate volatility on real international trade flows utilizing a 13-country data set of monthly bilateral real... -
Evidence on agglomeration economies, diseconomies, and growth (replication data)
Conventional urban economic analysis suggests that a local economy's size is closely related to a number of features, including levels of human capital and the availability of... -
A structural model of aggregate US job flows: another look (replication data)
A recent article (Collard et al., 2002) published in this journal presented a structural model of aggregate job flows. Unrestricted estimation of the model yields parameter... -
A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets (replication data)
Bull and bear markets are a common way of describing cycles in equity prices. To fully describe such cycles one would need to know the data generating process (DGP) for equity... -
Precautionary motives and portfolio decisions (replication data)
This paper studies the empirical relevance of precautionary and other motives for household portfolio behaviour using recent panel data from the Netherlands. Dutch households'...
