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THE GROWTH AFTERMATH OF NATURAL DISASTERS (replication data)
This paper traces the yearly response of gross domestic product growth-both aggregated and disaggregated into its agricultural and non-agricultural components-to four types of... -
CARROT AND STICK: HOW RE-EMPLOYMENT BONUSES AND BENEFIT SANCTIONS AFFECT EXIT...
To increase the exit from welfare, benefit recipients in the municipality of Rotterdam were exposed to various financial incentives. Once their benefit spell exceeded one year,... -
VAR FORECASTING USING BAYESIAN VARIABLE SELECTION (replication data)
This paper develops methods for automatic selection of variables in Bayesian vector autoregressions (VARs) using the Gibbs sampler. In particular, I provide computationally... -
Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARS (replication data)
This paper is motivated by the recent interest in the use of Bayesian VARs for forecasting, even in cases where the number of dependent variables is large. In such cases factor... -
Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change (replication data)
The aim of this paper is to assess whether modeling structural change can help improving the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts. We conduct a simulated real-time out-of-sample...
