-
Can subjective expectations data be used in choice models? evidence on cognit...
A pervasive concern with the use of subjective data in choice models is that they are biased and endogenous. This paper examines the extent to which cognitive biases plague... -
Stock market expectations of Dutch households (replication data)
Despite its importance for the analysis of life-cycle behavior and, in particular, retirement planning, stock ownership by private households is poorly understood. Among other... -
Stock Market Crash and Expectations of American Households (replication data)
This paper utilizes data on subjective probabilities to study the impact of the stock market crash of 2008 on households' expectations about the returns on the stock market... -
When Kahneman meets Manski: Using dual systems of reasoning to interpret subj...
To understand how decisions to invest in stocks are taken, economists need to elicit expectations regarding risk-return tradeoff. One of the few surveys which has elicited such... -
Measuring and interpreting expectations of equity returns (replication data)
We analyze probabilistic expectations of equity returns elicited in the Survey of Economic Expectations in 1999-2001 and in the Michigan Survey of Consumers in 2002-2004. Our... -
Individuals' uncertainty about future social security benefits and portfolio ...
Little is known about the degree to which individuals are uncertain about their future Social Security benefits, how this varies within the U.S. population, and whether this... -
Eliciting probabilistic expectations with visual aids in developing countries...
Eliciting subjective probability distributions in developing countries is often based on visual aids such as beans to represent probabilities and intervals on a sheet of paper... -
Measuring consumer uncertainty about future inflation (replication data)
We introduce a survey-based measure of uncertainty about future inflation, asking consumers for density forecasts across inflation outcomes. Consumers are willing and able to... -
Measuring the willingness to pay to avoid guilt: estimation using equilibrium...
We estimate structural models of guilt aversion to measure the population level of willingness to pay (WTP) to avoid feeling guilt by letting down another player. We compare...
