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The economics of state fragmentation: Assessing the economic impact of secess...
This paper presents estimates of the economic effects of secession for a large panel of countries that gained independence between 1940 and 2016. It relies on a semi-parametric... -
Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool (replication data)
The linear pool is the most popular method for combining density forecasts. We analyze its implications concerning forecast uncertainty, using a new framework that focuses on... -
International spillovers of forward guidance shocks (replication data)
We estimate a two-country model of the United States and Canada over the post 2009 sample to study the cross-country spillovers of forward guidance shocks. To do so, we propose... -
Bootstrap inference and diagnostics in state space models: With applications ...
This paper investigates the potentials of the bootstrap as a tool for inference on the parameters of macroeconometric models which admit a state space representation. We... -
Cyclical labour income risk in Great Britain (replication data)
This paper provides new evidence on the cyclical behaviour of household labour income risk in Great Britain and the role of social insurance policy in mitigating against this...