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Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy (replication data)
In this paper we discuss how the point and density forecasting performance of Bayesian vector autoregressions (BVARs) is affected by a number of specification choices. We adopt... -
EXPLORING ALL VAR ORDERINGS FOR CALCULATING SPILLOVERS? YES, WE CAN!-A NOTE O...
Diebold and Yilmaz (Economic Journal 2009; 119; 158-171) introduce the spillover index to measure linkages between international financial markets. As their index depends on the... -
SMOOTH DYNAMIC FACTOR ANALYSIS WITH APPLICATION TO THE US TERM STRUCTURE OF I...
We consider the dynamic factor model and show how smoothness restrictions can be imposed on factor loadings by using cubic spline functions. We develop statistical procedures... -
EXCHANGE RATE FUNDAMENTALS, FORECASTING, AND SPECULATION: BAYESIAN MODELS IN ...
Although speculative activity is central to black markets for currency, the out-of-sample performance of structural models in those settings is unknown. We substantially update...
