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ARE THE CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES BETWEEN EMU COUNTRIES SUSTAINABLE? EVIDENC...
Using parametric and non-parametric estimation techniques, we analyze the sustainability of the recently growing current account imbalances in the euro area and test whether the... -
ESTIMATION OF TIME-VARYING ADJUSTED PROBABILITY OF INFORMED TRADING AND PROBA...
Recently, Duarte and Young (2009) studied the probability of informed trading (PIN) proposed by Easley et al. (2002) and decomposed it into two parts: the adjusted PIN (APIN) as... -
SEMI-NONPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF CONSUMER SEARCH COSTS (replication data)
This paper studies the estimation of the distribution of non-sequential search costs. We show that the search cost distribution is identified by combining data from multiple... -
CONDITIONALLY HETEROSKEDASTIC FACTOR MODELS WITH SKEWNESS AND LEVERAGE EFFECT...
Conditional heteroskedasticity, skewness and leverage effects are well-known features of financial returns. The literature on factor models has often made assumptions that... -
SEMIPARAMETRIC VECTOR MEM (replication data)
Financial time series are often non-negative-valued (volumes, trades, durations, realized volatility, daily range) and exhibit clustering. When joint dynamics is of interest,... -
THE ROLE OF TIME-VARYING PRICE ELASTICITIES IN ACCOUNTING FOR VOLATILITY CHAN...
There has been a systematic increase in the volatility of the real price of crude oil since 1986, followed by a decline in the volatility of oil production since the early... -
HOW EFFECTIVE ARE UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFIT SANCTIONS? LOOKING BEYOND UNEMPLOYMENT...
This paper provides a comprehensive evaluation of the effects of benefit sanctions on post-unemployment outcomes such as post-unemployment employment stability and earnings. We... -
NONPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF ENTRY COST IN FIRST-PRICE PROCUREMENT AUCTIONS (r...
In this paper, I investigate Samuelson's low-price auction model with entry costs. The model's equilibrium implies that the distribution of bids is truncated at the threshold... -
FACTOR ANALYSIS OF A LARGE DSGE MODEL (replication data)
We study the workings of the factor analysis of high-dimensional data using artificial series generated from a large, multi-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE)... -
Estimation of Treatment Effects without an Exclusion Restriction: with an App...
The increase in childhood obesity has garnered the attention of many in policymaking circles. Consequently, school nutrition programs such as the School Breakfast Program (SBP)... -
COMPARING ALTERNATIVE MODELS OF HETEROGENEITY IN CONSUMER CHOICE BEHAVIOR (re...
When modeling demand for differentiated products, it is vital to adequately capture consumer taste heterogeneity, But there is no clearly preferred approach. Here, we compare... -
PANEL PROBIT WITH FLEXIBLE CORRELATED EFFECTS: QUANTIFYING TECHNOLOGY SPILLOV...
In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian panel probit model with two flexible latent effects: first, unobserved individual heterogeneity that is allowed to vary in the population... -
NON-LINEAR DSGE MODELS AND THE CENTRAL DIFFERENCE KALMAN FILTER (replication ...
This paper introduces a quasi maximum likelihood approach based on the central difference Kalman filter to estimate non-linear dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE)... -
EVALUATING REAL-TIME VAR FORECASTS WITH AN INFORMATIVE DEMOCRATIC PRIOR (repl...
This paper proposes Bayesian forecasting in a vector autoregression using a democratic prior. This prior is chosen to match the predictions of survey respondents. In particular,... -
UNEMPLOYMENT, HUMAN CAPITAL DEPRECIATION, AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE POLICY (...
This paper presents a structural estimation of a life cycle model with unemployment risk. The model allows for human capital depreciation during unemployment. It is estimated... -
HOW IMPORTANT ARE ENDOGENOUS PEER EFFECTS IN GROUP LENDING? ESTIMATING A STAT...
We quantify the importance of endogenous peer effects in group lending programs by estimating a static game of incomplete information. Endogenous peer effects describe how one's... -
THE EFFECT OF PARENTAL EMPLOYMENT ON CHILD SCHOOLING (replication data)
This paper presents a model that provides conditions under which a causal interpretation can be given to the association between childhood parental employment and subsequent... -
GENERALIZED AUTOREGRESSIVE SCORE MODELS WITH APPLICATIONS (replication data)
We propose a class of observation-driven time series models referred to as generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models. The mechanism to update the parameters over time is the... -
MULTIVARIATE VOLATILITY MODELING OF ELECTRICITY FUTURES (replication data)
We model the dynamic volatility and correlation structure of electricity futures of the European Energy Exchange index. We use a new multiplicative dynamic conditional... -
EFFICIENT AGGREGATION OF PANEL QUALITATIVE SURVEY DATA (replication data)
Qualitative business survey data are used widely to provide indicators of economic activity ahead of the publication of official data. Traditional indicators exploit only...
