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Structural FECM: Cointegration in large‐scale structural FAVAR models (replic...
Starting from the dynamic factor model for nonstationary data we derive the factor-augmented error correction model (FECM) and its moving-average representation. The latter is... -
Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages (replication data)
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to the US economy based on a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model. We find that the... -
Interconnections Between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts Using a Bayesian Pan...
The proposed panel Markov-switching VAR model accommodates changes in low and high data frequencies and incorporates endogenous time-varying transition matrices of... -
PRACTICAL TOOLS FOR POLICY ANALYSIS IN DSGE MODELS WITH MISSING SHOCKS (repli...
In this paper we analyze the propagation of shocks originating in sectors that are not present in a baseline dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. Specifically,... -
What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks? (replication data)
We propose and apply a new approach for analyzing the effects of fiscal policy using vector autoregressions. Specifically, we use sign restrictions to identify a government... -
Robust optimal monetary policy in a forward-looking model with parameter and ...
This paper characterizes a robust optimal policy rule in a simple forward-looking model, when the policymaker faces uncertainty about model parameters and shock processes. We... -
Comparing shocks and frictions in US and euro area business cycles: a Bayesia...
This paper estimates a DSGE model with many types of shocks and frictions for both the US and the euro area economy over a common sample period (1974-2002). The structural... -
What caused the early millennium slowdown? Evidence based on vector autoregre...
This paper uses a simple VAR for the USA and Euro area to analyse the underlying shocks of the early millennium slowdown, i.e. supply, demand, monetary policy and oil price... -
The transmission of US shocks to Latin America (replication data)
I study whether and how US shocks are transmitted to eight Latin American countries. US shocks are identified using sign restrictions and treated as exogenous with respect to... -
Censored latent effects autoregression, with an application to US unemploymen...
A model is proposed to describe observed asymmetries in postwar unemployment time series data. We assume that recession periods, when unemployment increases rapidly, correspond... -
Estimating shocks and impulse response functions (replication data)
This paper examines the issue of how to identify the shocks in a cointegrated VAR when the following assumptions are made: the variables can be classified as endogenous or... -
Keynesian impulses versus Solow residuals: identifying sources of business cy...
We employ a neoclassical business-cycle model to study two sources of business-cycle fluctuations: marginal efficiency of investment shocks, and total factor productivity... -
Unit roots in the presence of abrupt governmental interventions with an appli...
This paper considers econometric issues related to time-series data that have been subject to abrupt governmental interventions. The motivating example for this study is the... -
Identifying the source of dynamics in disaggregated import data (replication ...
This paper uses Kennan's (1988) model to separately identify supply-side and demand-side dynamics in US import data. Dynamics arise from both autocorrelated shocks to supply-... -
Persistence of shocks on seasonal processes (replication data)
The paper addresses the issue of measuring the persistence of shocks on seasonally integrated processes observed at quarterly intervals. We show that the amplitude of the...
