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Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages (replication data)
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to the US economy based on a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model. We find that the... -
The impact of data revisions on the robustness of growth determinants-a note ...
Ciccone and Jaroci-ski (American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2010; 2: 222-246) show that inference in Bayesian model averaging (BMA) can be highly sensitive to small data... -
On the effect of prior assumptions in Bayesian model averaging with applicati...
We consider the problem of variable selection in linear regression models. Bayesian model averaging has become an important tool in empirical settings with large numbers of... -
Jointness of growth determinants (replication data)
This paper introduces a new measure of dependence or jointness among explanatory variables. Jointness is based on the joint posterior distribution of variables over the model... -
Rough and lonely road to prosperity: a reexamination of the sources of growth...
This paper takes a fresh look at Africa's growth experience by using the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) methodology. BMA enables us to consider a large number of potential... -
Are output growth-rate distributions fat-tailed? some evidence from OECD coun...
This work explores some distributional properties of aggregate output growth-rate time series. We show that, in the majority of OECD countries, output growth-rate distributions... -
Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation (repl...
We use counterfactual experiments to investigate the sources of the large volatility reduction in US real GDP growth in the 1980s. Contrary to an existing literature that... -
Growth, technological interdependence and spatial externalities: theory and e...
This paper presents a theoretical growth model which explicitly takes into account technological interdependence among economies and examines the impact of spillover effects.... -
The role of environmental factors in growth accounting (replication data)
This paper explores a relatively new methodology, the directional distance function method, to analyse productivity growth. The method allows us to explicitly evaluate the role... -
The asymmetric effects of uncertainty on inflation and output growth (replica...
We study the effects of growth volatility and inflation volatility on average rates of output growth and inflation for post-war US data. Our results suggest that increased... -
Model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions (replication data)
We investigate the issue of model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA). We find that the posterior probability is spread widely... -
The non-linear dynamics of output and unemployment in the U.S. (replication d...
This paper studies the joint dynamics of U.S. output and unemployment rate in a non-linear VAR model. The non-linearity is introduced through a feedback variable that... -
Output and inflation in the long run (replication data)
Cross-country regressions explaining output growth often obtain a negative effect from inflation. However, that result is not robust, due to the selection of countries in... -
The effects of real and nominal uncertainty on inflation and output growth: s...
In this paper we use GARCH-M methods to test four hypotheses about the effects of real and nominal uncertainty on average inflation and output growth in the United States from... -
Non-linearities in cross-country growth regressions: a semiparametric approac...
In this paper we employ an additive semiparametric partially linear model to uncover the way that initial output and schooling levels affect growth rates. Our results based on... -
Are financial spreads useful indicators of future inflation and output growth...
This paper seeks to address the policy issue of the usefulness of financial spreads as indicators of future inflation and output growth in the countries of the European Union,... -
Stochastic trends, deterministic trends, and business cycle turning points (r...
This study examines the relationship between specifications for long-run output patterns and specifications for business cycle dynamics. In an application to US GDP, it is found... -
Multiple regimes and cross-country growth behaviour (replication data)
This paper provides some new evidence on the behaviour of cross-country growth rates. We reject the linear model commonly used to study cross-country growth behaviour in favour... -
Convergence in international output (replication data)
This paper proposes and tests new definitions of convergence and common trends for per capita output. We define convergence for a group of countries to mean that each country...
