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Structural breaks and GARCH models of exchange rate volatility (replication d...
We investigate the empirical relevance of structural breaks for GARCH models of exchange rate volatility using both in-sample and out-of-sample tests. We find significant... -
Exchange rates and monetary fundamentals: what do we learn from long-horizon ...
The use of a new bootstrap method for small-sample inference in long-horizon regressions is illustrated by analysing the long-horizon predictability of four major exchange... -
FEASIBLE CROSS-VALIDATORY MODEL SELECTION FOR GENERAL STATIONARY PROCESSES (r...
Cross-validation is a method used to estimate the expected prediction error of a model. Such estimates may be of interest in themselves, but their use for model selection is...
