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Testing the significance of income distribution changes over the 1980s busine...
Using kernel density estimation we describe the distribution of household size-adjusted real income and how it changed over the business cycle of the 1980s in the United States... -
The time-varying behaviour of real interest rates: a re-evaluation of the rec...
A time-varying parameter model with Markov-switching conditional heteroscedasticity is employed to investigate two sources of shifts in real interest rates: (1) shifts in the... -
Causal ordering and ‘The bank lending channel’ (replication data)
The bank lending channel implies the Federal Reserve can influence real income by controlling the level of intermediated loans. Using the notion of causality developed by Simon... -
Optimal univariate inflation forecasting with symmetric stable shocks (replic...
Monthly inflation in the United States indicates non-normality in the form of either occasional big shocks or marked changes in the level of the series. We develop a univariate... -
Excess capacity: a permanent characteristic of US airlines? (replication data)
This paper examines the permanence of excess capacity in the US airline industry. To avoid the problems with the standard engineering measure of capacity utilization, load... -
An analysis of technology, productivity, and regulatory distortion in the int...
The purpose of this paper is to provide the first comprehensive firm level analysis of cost structures and production in the interstate pipeline industry during the transition... -
Does more calculus improve student learning in intermediate micro- and macroe...
Using a selection bias correction model with ordered probit, we estimate how a second semester of calculus affects students' grades in intermediate economic theory. Selection... -
Understanding spot and forward exchange rate regressions (replication data)
Using the Kalman filter, we obtain maximum likelihood estimates of a permanent-transitory components model for log spot and forward dollar prices of the pound, the franc, and... -
The dynamic Laurent flexible form and the demand for money (replication data)
I derive the dynamic full Laurent model to estimate economic models that assume a dynamic process. The application in this paper is to use the dynamic full Laurent to estimate a... -
Stochastic trends, deterministic trends, and business cycle turning points (r...
This study examines the relationship between specifications for long-run output patterns and specifications for business cycle dynamics. In an application to US GDP, it is found... -
STATISTICAL INFERENCE VIA BOOTSTRAPPING FOR MEASURES OF INEQUALITY (replicati...
In this paper we consider the use of bootstrap methods to compute interval estimates and perform hypothesis tests for decomposable measures of economic inequality. Two... -
Credit rationing and threshold effects in the relation between money and outp...
The possibility that the effect of monetary policy on output may depend on whether credit conditions are tight or loose can be expressed as a non-linearity in the relation... -
Panel Estimates of a Two-Tiered Earnings Frontier (replication data)
This paper uses panel data to estimate a two-tiered instead of a one-tiered frontier model. The innovation is to develop a two-step maximum likelihood procedure yielding... -
Money demand revisited: An operational subjective approach (replication data)
This paper proposes a method of data analysis founded on the philosophy and understanding of uncertain knowledge developed by Bruno de Finetti. Specifically, the paper... -
Optimal response to a shift in regulatory regime: The case of the US nuclear ...
This paper studies the impact of the March 1979 Three Mile Island (TMI) accident on the regulation of nuclear power plants (NPPs) and its consequences for the operating... -
Cyclical output, cyclical unemployment, and Okun's coefficient: A new approac...
Estimates of Okun's coefficient are obtained using new estimates of cyclical GNP and cyclical unemployment rates for the post-war USA. Empirical estimates of the coefficient are... -
Spectral tests of the martingale hypothesis for exchange rates (replication d...
A new family of spectral shape tests was proposed recently by Durlauf (1991) for testing the martingale hypothesis. Unlike the widely used variance ratio test, spectral shape... -
A nonlinear approach to US GNP (replication data)
A univariate nonlinear model is estimated for US GNP that on many criteria outperforms standard linear models. The estimated model is of the threshold autoregressive type and... -
Separability test for the electricity supply industry (replication data)
This paper examines the vertical integration issue of the electricity industry. This industry is typically vertically integrated and heavily regulated. The paper investigates...