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Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty (replication data)
We assess whether the effects of fiscal policy depend on the extent of uncertainty in the economy. Focusing on tax shocks, identified by the narrative series by Romer and Romer... -
Exogenous uncertainty and the identification of structural vector autoregress...
We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the identification (point-identification) of structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) with external instruments considering... -
Mostly harmless simulations? Using Monte Carlo studies for estimator selectio...
We consider two recent suggestions for how to perform an empirically motivated Monte Carlo study to help select a treatment effect estimator under unconfoundedness. We show... -
Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large‐scale mixt...
We propose a straightforward algorithm to estimate large Bayesian time-varying parameter vector autoregressions with mixture innovation components for each coefficient in the... -
Does global inflation help forecast inflation in industrialized countries? (r...
Ciccarelli and Mojon (CM; Review of Economics and Statistics, 2010, 92(3), 524-535) propose an inflation forecasting model incorporating a global inflation factor and show that... -
Tests of asset pricing with time‐varying factor loads (replication data)
This paper proposes an empirical asset pricing test based on the homogeneity of the factor risk premia across risky assets. Factor loadings are considered to be dynamic and... -
Mixed‐frequency models with moving‐average components (replication data)
Temporal aggregation in general introduces a moving-average (MA) component in the aggregated model. A similar feature emerges when not all but only a few variables are... -
Monetary policy, housing rents, and inflation dynamics (replication data)
In this paper we study the effect of monetary policy shocks on housing rents. Our main finding is that, in contrast to house prices, housing rents increase in response to... -
The demand for season of birth (replication data)
We study the determinants of season of birth for married women aged 20-45 in the USA, using birth certificate and Census data. We also elicit the willingness to pay for season... -
Testing for time variation in the natural rate of interest (replication data)
This paper replicates in a wider sense the unobserved components model of Laubach and Williams (Review of Economics and Statistics, 2003, 85, 1063-1070) to estimate the natural... -
Heterogeneity in risk aversion and risk sharing regressions (replication data)
Heterogeneity in risk attitudes, if not properly accounted for, may induce a bias on the income coefficient of standard consumption insurance regressions. We show that,... -
The response of asset prices to monetary policy shocks: Stronger than thought...
Standard macroeconomic theory predicts rapid responses of asset prices to monetary policy shocks. Small-scale vector autoregressions (VARs), however, often find sluggish and... -
Controlling for ability using test scores (replication data)
This paper proposes a semiparametric method to control for ability using standardized test scores, or other item response assessments, in a regression model. The proposed method... -
Towards causal estimates of children's time allocation on skill development (...
In this paper we examine how children's time allocation affects their accumulation of cognitive skill. Children's time allocation is endogenous in a model of skill production... -
Catching up to girls: Understanding the gender imbalance in educational attai...
We estimate a sequential model of schooling to assess the major contributing factors to the large gender imbalance in educational attainment within racial groups. First, we find... -
Systemic risk and bank business models (replication data)
In this paper, we decompose banks' systemic risk into two dimensions: the risk of a bank (?bank tail risk?) and the link of the bank to the system in financial distress... -
Real‐time forecast combinations for the oil price (replication data)
Baumeister and Kilian (Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 2015, 33(3), 338-351) combine forecasts from six empirical models to predict real oil prices. In this paper,... -
Modeling the effects of grade retention in high school (replication data)
A dynamic discrete-choice model is set up to estimate the effects of grade retention in high school, both in the short run (end-of-year evaluation) and in the long run (drop-out... -
NETS: Network estimation for time series (replication data)
We model a large panel of time series as a vector autoregression where the autoregressive matrices and the inverse covariance matrix of the system innovations are assumed to be... -
Uncertainty across volatility regimes (replication data)
We propose a nonrecursive identification scheme for uncertainty shocks that exploits breaks in the volatility of macroeconomic variables and is novel in the literature on...
