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Modelling the trend and seasonals within an AIDS model of the demand for alco...
The argument that is put forward in this paper is that failure to represent stochastic trend and stochastic seasonality in an AIDS model leads to a misspecified and possibly... -
Income distribution and income dynamics in the United Kingdom (replication data)
In this paper, we propose a model of income dynamics which takes account of mobility both within and between jobs. The model is a hybrid of the mover-stayer model of income... -
Non-linear error correction and the UK demand for broad money, 1878-1993 (rep...
In this paper we reconsider an error-correction model of UK broad money demand by Ericsson, Hendry and Prestwich. Their model is non-linear in both variables and parameters, and... -
Modelling UK inflation, 1875-1991 (replication data)
UK inflation has varied greatly in response to many economic policy and exchange-rate regime shifts, two world wars and two oil crises, as well as legislative and technological... -
Earnings, unemployment, and housing in Britain (replication data)
This paper models regional earnings and unemployment in the ten regions of Great Britain between 1972 and 1995, paying particular attention to their interaction and to the... -
Stability and wage acceleration in macroeconomic models of cyclical growth (r...
This paper is concerned with the stability of macroeconomic models in which there is no long-run trade-off between unemployment and inflation, because of a wage adjustment... -
Testing of seasonal fractional integration in UK and Japanese consumption and...
The seasonal structure of quarterly UK and Japanese consumption and income is examined by means of fractionally based tests proposed by Robinson (1994). These series were... -
Measuring the equilibrium effects of unemployment benefits dispersion (replic...
We analyse the impact of unemployment benefits and minimum wages using an equilibrium search model which allows for dispersion of benefits and productivity levels, job-to-job... -
Gender, race, pay and promotion in the British nursing profession: estimation...
We analyse job grading within the UK National Health Service nursing profession, using 1994 survey data. We start from the ordered probit model, for which we develop and apply... -
Union status of young men in Britain: a decade of change (replication data)
Previous empirical studies of individual union status in Britain have been cross-sectional. In contrast, we use longitudinal data from the National Child Development Study, to... -
Testing the significance of income distribution changes over the 1980s busine...
Using kernel density estimation we describe the distribution of household size-adjusted real income and how it changed over the business cycle of the 1980s in the United States... -
Understanding spot and forward exchange rate regressions (replication data)
Using the Kalman filter, we obtain maximum likelihood estimates of a permanent-transitory components model for log spot and forward dollar prices of the pound, the franc, and... -
PERMANENT AND TRANSITORY SHOCKS, AND THE UK BUSINESS CYCLE (replication data)
In this paper the business cycle properties of UK data are investigated using a VAR technique. A Real Business Cycle (RBC) model is formulated. The model includes both permanent... -
Occupational pensions and job mobility in Britain: Estimation of a random-eff...
We analyse transitions between pensionable jobs, non-pensionable jobs, and other labour market states, using the 1988/9 UK Retirement Survey. We focus on the positive... -
Measuring underlying economic activity (replication data)
Recently, interest in the methodology of constructing coincident economic indicators has been revived by the work of Stock and Watson (1989b). They adopt the framework of the...