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Assessing the temporal variation of macroeconomic forecasts by a panel of cha...
This paper calls attention to the problem of changing panel composition in surveys of forecasters and documents the problem in the Survey of Professional Forecasters. To study... -
Estimating the effect of a gasoline tax on carbon emissions (replication data)
Recently the proposal has been made to raise gasoline taxes in the United States to curb carbon emissions. The existing literature on the sensitivity of gasoline consumption to... -
Competition in large markets (replication data)
This paper evaluates the simplifying assumption that producers compete in a large market without substantial strategic interactions using nonparametric regressions of producers'... -
Climbing the drug staircase: a Bayesian analysis of the initiation of hard dr...
Since empirical studies have shown that cannabis users are much more likely to initiate hard drug use, a causal linkage has been suggested (?gateway hypothesis?). However,... -
No one true path: uncovering the interplay between geography, institutions, a...
Do institutions rule when explaining cross-country divergence? By employing regression tree analysis to uncover the existence and nature of multiple development clubs and growth... -
How does changing age distribution impact stock prices? A nonparametric appro...
This paper examines whether variations in demographic structure have influenced stock prices. The study employs a nonparametric approach based on the Fourier Flexible Form... -
Identifying the age profile of patent citations: new estimates of knowledge d...
Previous research studies the age profile of patent citations to learn about knowledge flows over time. However, identification is problematic because of the collinearity... -
Non-Gaussian dynamic Bayesian modelling for panel data (replication data)
A first order autoregressive non-Gaussian model for analysing panel data is proposed. The main feature is that the model is able to accommodate fat tails and also skewness, thus... -
Firm size distributions through the lens of functional principal components a...
We explore the dynamics of firm size distributions through the lens of Functional Principal Component Analysis as proposed by Kneip and Utikal (2001). Using samples of UK firms... -
Capital accumulation and growth: a new look at the empirical evidence (replic...
Using annual data for 75 countries in the period 1960-2000, we present evidence of a positive relationship between investment as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) and the... -
Economic transition and growth (replication data)
Some extensions of neoclassical growth models are discussed that allow for cross-section heterogeneity among economies and evolution in rates of technological progress over... -
The political economy of financial reform: are Abiad and Mody right? (replica...
Motivated by the questions Financial Reform: What Shakes It? What Shapes It? raised by Abiad and Mody (2005), this paper studies the forces that induce governments to undertake... -
Estimating class‐specific parametric models under class uncertainty: local po...
We introduce a method for estimating multiple class regression models when class membership is uncertain. The procedure-local polynomial regression clustering-first estimates a... -
Forecasting US output growth using leading indicators: an appraisal using MID...
We evaluate the predictive power of leading indicators for output growth at horizons up to 1 year. We use the MIDAS regression approach as this allows us to combine multiple... -
Land of addicts? an empirical investigation of habit‐based asset pricing mode...
This paper studies the ability of a general class of habit-based asset pricing models to match the conditional moment restrictions implied by asset pricing theory. We treat the... -
Measuring state dependence in individual poverty histories when there is feed...
This paper argues that the assumption of strict exogeneity, which is usually invoked in estimating models of state dependence with unobserved heterogeneity, is violated in the... -
Dichotomous‐choice contingent valuation with ‘dont know’ responses and misrep...
A new approach is presented that simultaneously deals with Misreporting and Don't Know (DK) responses within a dichotomous-choice contingent valuation framework. Utilising a... -
Econometrics of auctions by least squares (replication data)
I investigate using the method of ordinary least squares (OLS) on auction data. I find that for parameterizations of the valuation distribution that are common in empirical... -
Estimating risk aversion from ascending and sealed-bid auctions: the case of ...
Estimating bidders' risk aversion in auctions is a challenging problem because of identification issues. This paper takes advantage of bidding data from two auction designs to... -
Multi-round procurement auctions with secret reserve prices: theory and evide...
When a secret reserve price is used in an auction, the auctioneer cannot guarantee that the good can be sold out at the auction, and can reauction the unsold objects in the next...
