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Testing the rationality of expectations of qualitative outcomes (replication ...
This article provides an adequate statistic for testing the rationality of point predictions of categorical outcomes under a subjective median or mode assumption. The test... -
Risk premia and seasonality in commodity futures (replication data)
We develop and estimate a multifactor affine model of commodity futures that allows for stochastic seasonality. We document the existence of stochastic seasonal fluctuations in... -
Understanding the economic determinants of the severity of operational losses...
We investigate a novel database of 10,217 extreme operational losses from the Italian bank UniCredit. Our goal is to shed light on the dependence between the severity... -
National natural rates of interest and the single monetary policy in the euro...
We estimate time-varying national natural real rates of interest (r?) for the four largest economies of the euro area over 1999-2016. We further derive the associated national... -
Testing for optimal monetary policy via moment inequalities (replication data)
The specification of an optimizing model of the monetary transmission mechanism requires selecting a policy regime: commonly, commitment or discretion. In this paper we propose... -
Half-panel jackknife fixed-effects estimation of linear panels with weakly ex...
This paper considers estimation and inference in linear panel regression models with lagged dependent variables and/or other weakly exogenous regressors when N (the... -
Fat tails and spurious estimation of consumption-based asset pricing models (...
The standard generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation of Euler equations in heterogeneous-agent consumption-based asset pricing models is inconsistent under fat tails... -
Identifying relevant and irrelevant variables in sparse factor models (replic...
This paper considers factor estimation from heterogeneous data, where some of the variables-the relevant ones-are informative for estimating the factors, and others-the... -
Real exchange rate persistence and the excess return puzzle: The case of Swit...
The PPP puzzle refers to the wide swings of nominal exchange rates around their long-run equilibrium values whereas the excess return puzzle represents the persistent deviation... -
Efficient estimation of factor models with time and cross-sectional dependenc...
This paper studies the efficient estimation of large-dimensional factor models with both time and cross-sectional dependence assuming (N,T) separability of the covariance... -
Model selection with estimated factors and idiosyncratic components (replicat...
This paper provides consistent information criteria for the selection of forecasting models that use a subset of both the idiosyncratic and common factor components of a big... -
Dynamic spatial autoregressive models with autoregressive and heteroskedastic...
We propose a new class of models specifically tailored for spatiotemporal data analysis. To this end, we generalize the spatial autoregressive model with autoregressive and... -
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large‐scale structural FAVAR models (replic...
Starting from the dynamic factor model for nonstationary data we derive the factor-augmented error correction model (FECM) and its moving-average representation. The latter is... -
The cycle of violence in the Second Intifada: Causality in nonlinear vector a...
We contest Jaeger and Paserman's claim (Jaeger and Paserman , 2008. The cycle of violence? An empirical analysis of fatalities in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. American... -
Anchoring the yield curve using survey expectations (replication data)
The dynamic behavior of the term structure of interest rates is difficult to replicate with models, and even models with a proven track record of empirical performance have... -
Accounting for the Political Uncertainty Factor (replication data)
We build our analysis upon previous work by Bloom et al. (Measuring the Effect of Political Uncertainty. Working Paper, Stanford University, 2012) and Baker et al. (Political... -
Replication of Grier, Henry, Olekalns and Shields (2004): the Asymmetric Effe...
In their influential work Grier et al.(The asymmetric effects of uncertainty on inflation and output growth. Journal of Applied Econometrics 2004; 19: 551-565) examine the... -
Panicca: Panic on Cross-Section Averages (replication data)
The cross-section average (CA) augmentation approach of Pesaran (A simple panel unit root test in presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics 2007; 22:... -
Estimating Health Demand for an Aging Population: A Flexible and Robust Bayes...
We analyse two frequently used measures of the demand for health-hospital visits and out-of-pocket health care expenditure-which have been analysed separately in the existing... -
Effect of Online Dating on Assortative Mating: Evidence from South Korea (rep...
Online dating services have increased in popularity around the world, but a lack of quality data hinders our understanding of their role in family formation. This paper studies...
