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The impact of data revisions on the robustness of growth determinants-a note ...
Ciccone and Jaroci-ski (American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2010; 2: 222-246) show that inference in Bayesian model averaging (BMA) can be highly sensitive to small data... -
Path forecast evaluation (replication data)
A path forecast refers to the sequence of forecasts 1 to H periods into the future. A summary of the range of possible paths the predicted variable may follow for a given... -
Risk of catastrophic terrorism: an extreme value approach (replication data)
This paper models the stochastic behavior of large-scale terrorism using extreme value methods. We utilize a unique dataset composed of roughly 26,000 observations. These data... -
Structural break threshold VARs for predicting US recessions using the spread...
This paper proposes a model to predict recessions that accounts for non-linearity and a structural break when the spread between long- and short-term interest rates is the... -
Robustness tests of the augmented Solow model (replication data)
This paper demonstrates some techniques for testing the robustness of cross-section and panel data regressions, and applies them to the influential augmented Solow growth model....
