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Regression Discontinuity Applications with Rounding Errors in the Running Var...
Many empirical applications of regression discontinuity (RD) models use a running variable that is rounded and hence discrete, e.g.?age in years, or birth weight in ounces. This... -
Missing in Asynchronicity: A Kalman-em Approach for Multivariate Realized Cov...
Motivated by the need for a positive-semidefinite estimator of multivariate realized covariance matrices, we model noisy and asynchronous ultra-high-frequency asset prices in a... -
A Bayesian Semiparametric Competing Risk Model with Unobserved Heterogeneity ...
This paper generalizes existing econometric models for censored competing risks by introducing a new flexible specification based on a piecewise linear baseline hazard,... -
Unraveling the Relationship Between Presidential Approval and the Economy: A ...
Empirical studies analyzing the determinants of US presidential popularity have delivered quite inconclusive results concerning the role of economic variables by assuming linear... -
Identification and Estimation of Engel Curves with Endogenous and Unobserved ...
When dealing with the estimation of Engel curves, measurement errors in expenditure data and simultaneity are likely sources of endogeneity. In this paper we study... -
Visual Attention and Attribute Attendance in Multi-Attribute Choice Experimen...
Decision strategies in multi-attribute choice experiments are investigated using eye-tracking. The visual attention towards, and attendance of, attributes is examined. Stated... -
Hedonic Housing Prices in Paris: An Unbalanced Spatial Lag Pseudo-Panel Model...
This paper estimates a hedonic housing model based on flats sold in the city of Paris over the period 1990-2003. This is done using maximum likelihood estimation, taking into... -
UNCOVERING THE COMMON RISK-FREE RATE IN THE EUROPEAN MONETARY UNION (replicat...
We introduce longitudinal factor analysis (LFA) to extract the common risk-free (CRF) rate from a sample of sovereign bonds of countries in a monetary union. Since LFA exploits... -
IS ECONOMIC RECOVERY A MYTH? ROBUST ESTIMATION OF IMPULSE RESPONSES (replicat...
We estimate the impulse response function (IRF) of GDP to a banking crisis using an extension of the local projections method. We demonstrate that, though robust to... -
DISENTANGLING DEMAND AND SUPPLY SHOCKS IN THE CRUDE OIL MARKET: HOW TO CHECK ...
Sign restrictions have become increasingly popular for identifying shocks in structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models. So far there are no techniques for validating the... -
THE ROLE OF INVENTORIES AND SPECULATIVE TRADING IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR CRUD...
We develop a structural model of the global market for crude oil that for the first time explicitly allows for shocks to the speculative demand for oil as well as shocks to flow... -
STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION FOR LONG-TERM INVESTORS: PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY AND...
We study the effect of parameter uncertainty on the long-run risk for three asset classes: stocks, bills and bonds. Using a Bayesian vector autoregression with an uninformative... -
THE PREDICTABILITY OF AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION GROWTH IN OECD COUNTRIES: A PANEL...
We examine aggregate consumption growth predictability. We derive a dynamic consumption equation which encompasses relevant predictability factors: habit formation,... -
MODELLING LARGE OPEN ECONOMIES WITH INTERNATIONAL LINKAGES: THE USA AND EURO ...
Empirical modelling of the linkages between the euro area and the USA requires an open economy framework. The methodology proposed in this paper achieves identification of a... -
TESTS OF EQUAL FORECAST ACCURACY FOR OVERLAPPING MODELS (replication data)
This paper examines the asymptotic and finite-sample properties of tests of equal forecast accuracy when the models being compared are overlapping in the sense of Vuong... -
FURTHER EVIDENCE ON THE SPATIO-TEMPORAL MODEL OF HOUSE PRICES IN THE UNITED S...
Holly, Pesaran, and Yamagata (Journal of Econometrics 2010; 158: 160-173) use a panel of 49 states over the period 1975-2003 to show that state-level real housing prices are... -
REVERSE REGRESSIONS AND LONG-HORIZON FORECASTING (replication data)
Long-horizon predictive regressions in finance pose formidable econometric problems when estimated using available sample sizes. Hodrick in 1992 proposed a remedy that is based... -
TIME-VARYING DYNAMICS OF THE REAL EXCHANGE RATE: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS (repli...
We use a time-varying structural vector autoregression to investigate evolving dynamics of the real exchange rate for the UK, euro area and Canada. We show that demand and... -
POOLING VERSUS MODEL SELECTION FOR NOWCASTING GDP WITH MANY PREDICTORS: EMPIR...
This paper discusses pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with large datasets in the presence of model uncertainty. In practice, nowcasting a low-frequency variable... -
THE GROWTH AFTERMATH OF NATURAL DISASTERS (replication data)
This paper traces the yearly response of gross domestic product growth-both aggregated and disaggregated into its agricultural and non-agricultural components-to four types of...
