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Measuring the impact of nonignorability in panel data with non-monotone nonre...
The analysis of panel data with non-monotone nonresponse often relies on the critical and untestable assumption of ignorable missingness. It is important to assess the... -
Welfare‐maximizing monetary policy under parameter uncertainty (replication d...
This paper examines welfare-maximizing monetary policy in an estimated micro-founded general equilibrium model of the US economy where the policymaker faces uncertainty about... -
Market fundamentals versus rational bubbles in stock prices: a Bayesian persp...
Using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, we decompose the log price-dividend ratio into a market fundamentals component and a bubble component. The market fundamentals... -
A unified approach to standardized-residuals-based correlation tests for GARC...
In this paper, we propose a unified approach to generating standardized-residuals-based correlation tests for checking GARCH-type models. This approach is valid in the presence... -
An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach (rep...
The Federal Reserve Greenbook forecasts of real GDP, inflation and unemployment are analysed for the period 1974-1997. We consider whether these forecasts exhibit systematic... -
Monitoring structural change in dynamic econometric models (replication data)
The classical approach to testing for structural change employs retrospective tests using a historical data set of a given length. Here we consider a wide array of... -
Duration dependence in the exit rate out of unemployment in Belgium. Is it tr...
On the basis of aggregate data for the early 1990s, we analyse the determinants of unemployment duration for laid-off male workers in Wallonia (Belgium). Our results indicate... -
On Markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and di...
This paper considers Markov error-correction (MEC) models in which deviations from the long-run equilibrium are characterized by different rates of adjustment. To motivate our... -
Temporary layoffs and split population models (replication data)
This paper develops and estimates a split population model for the duration of temporary layoffs in the German labour market; the population being split according to whether a... -
The stochastic implications of rent maximization: an application to stumpage ...
We construct a model of rent-maximizing behaviour by a single seller of timber in the absence of a formal market, deriving the stochastic implications of rent maximization for... -
A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets (replication data)
Bull and bear markets are a common way of describing cycles in equity prices. To fully describe such cycles one would need to know the data generating process (DGP) for equity... -
Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models (replication data)
In a recent paper, Bai and Perron (1998) considered theoretical issues related to the limiting distribution of estimators and test statistics in the linear model with multiple... -
Quasi-fixed inputs and long-run equilibrium in production: a cointegration an...
This paper proposes a cointegration approach to testing the validity long-run equilibrium in production, where capital and labour are taken as quasi-fixed inputs. Previous... -
An empirical comparison of flexible demand system functional forms (replicati...
This paper compares the performance of eight frequently used flexible forms that are either (1) locally flexible, (2) effectively globally regular, or (3) asymptotically... -
US deficit sustainability: a new approach based on multiple endogenous breaks...
Recent empirical work has questioned the consistency of US fiscal policy with an intertemporal budget constraint. Empirical results have tended to indicate that the deficit... -
Multiple comparisons with the best, with economic applications (replication d...
In this paper we discuss a statistical method called multiple comparisons with the best, or MCB. Suppose that we have N populations, and population i has parameter value i. Let... -
Unit roots in the presence of abrupt governmental interventions with an appli...
This paper considers econometric issues related to time-series data that have been subject to abrupt governmental interventions. The motivating example for this study is the... -
Jackknife instrumental variables estimation (replication data)
Two-stage-least-squares (2SLS) estimates are biased towards the probability limit of OLS estimates. This bias grows with the degree of over-identification and can generate... -
The conditional heteroscedasticity of the yen-dollar exchange rate (replicati...
This paper examines the conditional heteroscedasticity of the yen-dollar exchange rate. A model is constructed by extending the asymmetric power autoregressive conditional... -
A PREDICTIVE APPROACH TO MODEL SELECTION AND MULTICOLLINEARITY (replication d...
We argue for the adoption of a predictive approach to model specification. Specifically, we derive the difference between means and the ratio of determinants of covariance...