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EXPLORING ALL VAR ORDERINGS FOR CALCULATING SPILLOVERS? YES, WE CAN!-A NOTE O...
Diebold and Yilmaz (Economic Journal 2009; 119; 158-171) introduce the spillover index to measure linkages between international financial markets. As their index depends on the... -
SMOOTH DYNAMIC FACTOR ANALYSIS WITH APPLICATION TO THE US TERM STRUCTURE OF I...
We consider the dynamic factor model and show how smoothness restrictions can be imposed on factor loadings by using cubic spline functions. We develop statistical procedures... -
EXCHANGE RATE FUNDAMENTALS, FORECASTING, AND SPECULATION: BAYESIAN MODELS IN ...
Although speculative activity is central to black markets for currency, the out-of-sample performance of structural models in those settings is unknown. We substantially update... -
AN EMPIRICAL GROWTH MODEL FOR MAJOR OIL EXPORTERS (replication data)
This paper develops a long-run output relation for a major oil-exporting economy where the oil income-to-output ratio remains sufficiently high over a prolonged period. It... -
INFORMATION IN THE YIELD CURVE: A MACRO-FINANCE APPROACH (replication data)
We use a macro-finance model, incorporating macroeconomic and financial factors, to study the term premium in the US bond market. Estimating the model using Bayesian techniques,... -
DO PEERS AFFECT STUDENT ACHIEVEMENT? EVIDENCE FROM CANADA USING GROUP SIZE VA...
We provide the first empirical application of a new approach proposed by Lee (Journal of Econometrics 2007; 140(2), 333-374) to estimate peer effects in a linear-in-means model... -
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF FACTOR MODELS ON DATASETS WITH ARBITRARY PAT...
In this paper we modify the expectation maximization algorithm in order to estimate the parameters of the dynamic factor model on a dataset with an arbitrary pattern of missing... -
Did China diversify its foreign reserves? (replication data)
This paper takes a novel approach to detect the latent currency portfolio of Chinese foreign exchange reserves and the underlying portfolio management strategies during 2000 and... -
Estimation of dynamic panel data models with sample selection (replication data)
We propose a new method for estimating dynamic panel data models with selection. The method uses backward substitution for the lagged dependent variable, which leads to an... -
Stochastic search variable selection in vector error correction models with a...
This paper develops methods for stochastic search variable selection (currently popular with regression and vector autoregressive models) for vector error correction models... -
Investment decisions in manufacturing: assessing the effects of real oil pric...
We investigate the effects of real oil prices and their uncertainty on investment decisions. Making use of plant-level data, we estimate dynamic, discrete-choice models that... -
Panel data estimates of the production function and product and labor market ...
Consistent with two models of imperfect competition in the labor market-the efficient bargaining model and the monopsony model-we provide two extensions of a microeconomic... -
Narrow and scientific replication of ‘The slave trade and the origins of mist...
Nunn and Wantchekon (2011) argue that slave trades led to a culture of mistrust in Africa. They regress self-reported trust from the 2005 Afrobarometer surveys on... -
Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change (replication data)
The aim of this paper is to assess whether modeling structural change can help improving the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts. We conduct a simulated real-time out-of-sample... -
On the simultaneity problem in the aid and growth debate (replication data)
This paper shows that foreign aid has a significant positive average effect on real per capita gross domestic product (GDP) growth if, and only if, the quantitatively large... -
Measuring the impact of nonignorability in panel data with non-monotone nonre...
The analysis of panel data with non-monotone nonresponse often relies on the critical and untestable assumption of ignorable missingness. It is important to assess the... -
Dynamics and equilibrium in a structural model of wide-body commercial aircra...
This paper develops and estimates a dynamic equilibrium model of the market for new and used commercial aircraft. The model is estimated by maximum simulated likelihood using... -
Traffic safety and vehicle choice: quantifying the effects of the ‘arms race’...
The increasing share of light trucks in the USA has been characterized as an arms race where individual purchases of light trucks for better self-protection nevertheless worsen... -
Instrumental variables regressions with uncertain exclusion restrictions: a B...
The identification of structural parameters in the linear instrumental variables (IV) model is typically achieved by imposing the prior identifying assumption that the error... -
Selection in a field experiment with voluntary participation (replication data)
The external validity of experiments in economics can be ensured only if participants reflect the relevant market population. We study data from a promotional campaign of...
