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Credit Booms Gone Bust: Replication of Schularick and Taylor (AER 2012) (repl...
This paper replicates the results in Schularick and Taylor (American Economic Review 2012; 102(2): 1029-1061; ST hereafter). Specifically, I replicate ST's results in the narrow... -
The Robust Relationship Between US Food Aid and Civil Conflict (replication d...
Humanitarian aid has long been considered an important means to reduce hunger and suffering in developing countries. A recent finding by Nunn and Qian (US food aid and civil... -
Dynamic Panel Data Models With Irregular Spacing: With an Application to Earl...
With the increased availability of longitudinal data, dynamic panel data models have become commonplace. Moreover, the properties of various estimators of such models are well... -
Loan Supply Shocks and the Business Cycle (replication data)
This paper provides empirical evidence on the role played by loan supply shocks over the business cycle in the euro area, the UK and the USA from 1980 to 2011 by estimating... -
On the Stability of the Excess Sensitivity of Aggregate Consumption Growth in...
This paper investigates whether there is time variation in the excess sensitivity of aggregate consumption growth to anticipated aggregate disposable income growth using... -
Narrow Replication of Fisman and Miguel's (2007a) ‘Corruption, Norms, and Leg...
This note provides a narrow replication of Fisman and Miguel's (Journal of Political Economy, 2007a; 115(6): 1020-1048) original findings about estimating negative binomial... -
Density Forecasts With Midas Models (replication data)
We propose a parametric block wild bootstrap approach to compute density forecasts for various types of mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. First, Monte Carlo simulations... -
Confronting Price Endogeneity in a Duration Model of Residential Subdivision ...
Spatial equilibrium implies that distant factors are correlated with local prices through market mechanisms. Using this logic, we develop a novel approach for handling price... -
Income and Democracy: A Smooth Varying Coefficient Redux (replication data)
Acemoglu et al. (American Economic Review 2008; 98: 808-842) find no effect of income on democracy when controlling for fixed effects in a dynamic panel model. Work by... -
The Millennium Peak in Club Convergence: A New Look at Distributional Changes...
This paper proposes an easy-to-use nonparametric indicator for club convergence, or convergence within clusters of countries: it measures whether the modes of the gross domestic... -
Weak and Strong Cross-Sectional Dependence: A Panel Data Analysis of Internat...
This paper provides an econometric examination of technological knowledge spillovers among countries by focusing on the issue of error cross-sectional dependence, particularly... -
Wild Bootstrap Inference for Wildly Different Cluster Sizes (replication data)
The cluster robust variance estimator (CRVE) relies on the number of clusters being sufficiently large. Monte Carlo evidence suggests that the rule of 42 is not true for... -
Forecasting With the Standardized Self‐Perturbed Kalman Filter (replication d...
We propose and study the finite-sample properties of a modified version of the self-perturbed Kalman filter of Park and Jun (Electronics Letters 1992; 28: 558-559) for the... -
Conventional Monetary Policy Transmission During Financial Crises: An Empiric...
This paper studies the effects of a conventional monetary policy shock in the USA during times of high financial stress. The analysis is carried out by introducing a smooth... -
Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at t...
Appropriate real-time forecasting models for the US retail price of gasoline yield substantial reductions in the mean-squared prediction error (MSPE) at horizons up to 2 years... -
How to Identify and Forecast Bull and Bear Markets? (replication data)
Because the state of the equity market is latent, several methods have been proposed to identify past and current states of the market and forecast future ones. These methods... -
Forecasting Tail Risks (replication data)
This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial risks obtained using a large database of monthly US data... -
Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages (replication data)
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to the US economy based on a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model. We find that the... -
Mismatch Shocks and Unemployment During the Great Recession (replication data)
We investigate the macroeconomic consequences of fluctuations in the effectiveness of the labor market matching process with a focus on the Great Recession. We conduct our... -
Bubbles and Crises: The Role of House Prices and Credit (replication data)
This paper utilizes quarterly panel data for 20 OECD countries over the period 1975:Q1-2014:Q2 to explore the importance of house prices and credit in affecting the likelihood...
